A dam assessment support system based on physical measurements, sensory evaluations and expert judgements
نویسندگان
چکیده
In engineering system control, human beings can play various key roles, in particular concerning measurement, global assessment and decision. This paper focuses on methods that allow the representation and aggregation of heterogeneous data (sensory evaluations, physical measurements, outputs of mathematical models, etc.) used in a global dam assessment process. It is acknowledged that in such complex systems many of the variables involved are evaluated with uncertainty. We propose a possibility theory-based approach to deal with all the different uncertain pieces of information and propagate them in aggregation models for global dam assessment. Finally, decision-making and communication applications relating to dam safety are presented.
منابع مشابه
Using Physical Measurements, Sensory Evaluations and Expert Judgements in a Dam Assessment Support System
In engineering system control, human beings can play various key roles in particular concerning measurement, global assessment and decision. It is recognised that in such complex systems many involved variables are evaluated with uncertainty. In this paper, we used a possibility theory based approach to formalise all the different uncertain pieces of information. An applicative example concerni...
متن کاملEnvironmental management for Agriculture: An Expert System Approach
The development of quantitative measures for self-assessment of the environmental performance of farming enterprises is described. A rule-based expert system approach is adopted based on well established sources of guidance. Value judgements are introduced as configurable coefficients. The system derives a compound performance indicator which can provide the basis for interor intra-farm compari...
متن کاملAn agent-oriented decision support system combining fuzzy clustering and the AHP
Decision making is a complex process, particularly when it is carried out by multidisciplinary team. Methods based on the analytical hierarchy process have been widely employed because they provide solid mathematical background. Nevertheless, solutions such as the Aggregation of Individual Judgements (AIJ) and the Aggregation of Individual Priorities (AIP) do not offer sufficient explanatory da...
متن کاملA Collaborative Evaluation Environment for Credibility Assessment of Modeling and Simulation Applications
Credibility assessment of modeling and simulation (M&S) applications is becoming increasingly more important as M&S applications are used more and more for complex system design evaluation, M&S-based acquisition, problem solving, military training, and critical decision making. M&S credibility assessment is a very complex process, involves the measurement and evaluation of hundreds of qualitati...
متن کاملAssessing Model Discrepancy Using a Multi-Model Ensemble
Any model-based prediction must take account of the discrepancy between the model and the underlying system. In physical systems such as climate, where a typical system component is indexed by space, time, and type, this discrepancy has a complex joint structure, which makes direct elicitation very demanding. Here we propose an alternative to direct elicitation, based on judgements about a coll...
متن کامل